Imboni yezindwangu yase-India ibhekana “nomphumela wovemvane” obangelwa uchungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kukakotini. Njengomthengisi omkhulu womhlaba wonke wendwangu kakotini, ukwehla okungama-8% unyaka nonyaka kokuthunyelwa kwendwangu kakotini yaseNdiya ngekota yesibili ka-2024 kusekelwe ukwenyuka kwamanani kakotini wasekhaya ngenxa yokuncipha kokukhiqizwa. Idatha ikhombisa ukuthi amanani kakotini e-India akhuphuke ngo-22% kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2024 kuya ku-Q2, akhuphula ngokuqondile izindleko zokukhiqiza indwangu kakotini futhi enza buthaka ukuncintisana kwentengo yawo ezimakethe zamazwe ngamazwe.
Imiphumela ye-Ripple Behind Reduced Production
Ukwehliswa kokukhiqizwa kukakotini eNdiya akuyona ingozi. Phakathi nenkathi yokutshala ka-2023-2024, izindawo ezikhiqizayo ezinkulu ezifana ne-Maharashtra ne-Gujarat zihlaselwe isomiso esingavamile, okuholele ekwehleni konyaka nonyaka kwesivuno sikakotini ngo-15%. Isamba esikhiqiziwe sehle safinyelela kumabhele ayizigidi ezingama-34 (170 kg ngebhali ngalinye), okuphansi kakhulu eminyakeni emihlanu edlule. Ukushoda kwezinto ezingavuthiwe kubangele ukukhuphuka kwentengo ngokuqondile, futhi abakhiqizi bendwangu kakotini banamandla okuxoxisana abuthakathaka: izigayo zendwangu ezincane neziphakathi nendawo zithatha ama-70% emboni yendwangu yaseNdiya futhi zilwela ukukhiya amanani entengo yezinto ezingavuthiwe ngezinkontileka zesikhathi eside, kufanele bavume kancane ukudluliswa kwezindleko.
Ukusabela emakethe yamazwe ngamazwe kuqondile nakakhulu. Phakathi nokuphambukiswa kwezimbangi ezifana ne-Bangladesh ne-Vietnam, ama-oda okuthunyelwa kwendwangu kakotini yase-India e-EU nase-US ehle ngo-11% no-9% ngokulandelana. Abathengi be-EU bathambekele kakhulu ekuphendukeleni ePakistan, lapho amanani kakotini ahlala ezinzile ngenxa yesivuno esikhulu, futhi ikhotheshini yendwangu kakotini efanayo iphansi ngo-5% -8% kuneyaseNdiya.
Ikhithi Yenqubomgomo Yokunqamula I-Deadlock
Ebujameni obubucayi, impendulo kahulumeni waseNdiya ikhombisa umqondo ombaxambili “wokuhlenga izimo eziphuthumayo zesikhathi esifushane + noguquko lwesikhathi eside”:
- Ukuqedwa kwentela yokungenisa intambo kakotini: Uma inqubomgomo isetshenziswa, i-India izokhipha intambo kakotini evela kwamanye amazwe entela eyisisekelo engu-10% kanye nentela eyengeziwe engu-5%. Ngokwezilinganiso zoMnyango Wezindwangu waseNdiya, lesi sinyathelo singanciphisa izindleko zokungeniswa kwentambo kakotini ngo-15%, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi yenyuse ukuthengwa kwendwangu kakotini yanyanga zonke ngamathani angu-50,000, kugcwalise u-20% wegebe lempahla eluhlaza yasekhaya futhi kudambise ingcindezi yezinto ezingavuthiwe kubakhiqizi bendwangu kakotini.
- Ukubheja emzileni kakotini ogaywe kabusha: Uhulumeni uhlela ukuhlinzeka ngesaphulelo sentela esingu-3% sokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwezindwangu zikakotini ezigaywe kabusha ngokusebenzisa “Uhlelo Lwesinxephezelo Sokuthekelisa Ngefayibha Esetshenzisiwe” futhi asebenzisane nezinhlangano zezimboni ukuze kusungulwe uhlelo lwesitifiketi sekhwalithi kakotini olugaywe kabusha. Njengamanje, ukuthunyelwa kwe-India kwezindwangu zikakotini ezigaywe kabusha kubalwa ngaphansi kuka-5%, kuyilapho imakethe yezindwangu ezigaywe kabusha emhlabeni wonke ikhula ngezinga lonyaka lika-12%. Izinzuzo zenqubomgomo kulindeleke ukuthi ziqhube ukuthunyelwa kwalesi sigaba ukuthi kudlule i-$1 billion ngo-2024.
Ukukhathazeka Kwemboni Nokulindelwe
Amabhizinisi endwangu asabuka umphumela wezinqubomgomo. USanjay Thakur, uMongameli we-Federation of Indian Textile Industries, waveza: “Ukwehliswa kwentela kungabhekana nesidingo esiphuthumayo, kodwa umjikelezo wokuthutha wentambo kakotini ethengwa kwamanye amazwe (izinsuku ezingama-45-60 zokuthengwa kwamanye amazwe ezivela eBrazil nase-US) ngeke ukwazi ukuthatha indawo ngokugcwele ukushesha kochungechunge lokuhlinzeka ngendawo.” Okubaluleke nakakhulu, isidingo semakethe yamazwe ngamazwe sendwangu kakotini siyasuka “ekubekweni kuqala amanani aphansi” siye “kusimama” - i-EU ishaye umthetho wokuthi ingxenye yamafayibha agaywe kabusha ezimpahleni zokusetshenziswa zendwangu akufanele ibe ngaphansi kuka-50% ngo-2030, okuwumqondo oyinhloko ngemuva kokukhuthazwa kwe-India kokuthengiswa kabusha kukakotini.
Le nkinga ebangelwa ukotini ingase iphoqe imboni yendwangu yaseNdiya ukuthi isheshise ukuguqulwa kwayo. Lapho isivimbeli senqubomgomo yesikhathi esifushane kanye nokushintsha ithrekhi kwesikhathi eside kwenza i-synergy, noma ngabe ukuthunyelwa kwendwangu kakotini yase-India kungayeka ukwehla futhi kubophe kabusha engxenyeni yesibili ka-2024 kuzoba iwindi elibalulekile lokubheka ukuhlelwa kabusha kochungechunge lokuhlinzeka ngendwangu emhlabeni wonke.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Aug-05-2025