Volatile Trade Policy
Kev cuam tshuam ntau zaus los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Txoj Cai:Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau hloov kho nws cov cai lag luam tsis tu ncua. Txij li thaum Lub Yim Hli 1, nws tau tshaj tawm 10% -41% tariff rau cov khoom los ntawm 70 lub teb chaws, cuam tshuam loj heev rau kev lag luam textile thoob ntiaj teb. Txawm li cas los xij, thaum Lub Yim Hli 12, Tuam Tshoj thiab Asmeskas ib txhij tau tshaj tawm 90-hnub txuas ntxiv ntawm lub sijhawm ncua kev lis kev cai, nrog rau cov nqi se ntxiv uas twb muaj lawm tsis hloov pauv, coj kev ruaj ntseg ib ntus rau kev lag luam textile pauv ntawm ob lub teb chaws.
Cov Sijhawm los ntawm Kev Pom Zoo Kev Lag Luam Hauv Cheeb Tsam:Daim Ntawv Pom Zoo Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam thiab Kev Lag Luam tau kos npe ntawm Is Nrias teb thiab United Kingdom tau pib siv rau lub Yim Hli 5. Raws li daim ntawv cog lus no, 1,143 cov khoom lag luam textile los ntawm Is Nrias teb tau txais kev zam tag nrho cov nqi se hauv UK kev ua lag luam, uas yuav tsim kom muaj chaw rau kev txhim kho ntawm Is Nrias teb kev lag luam textile. Tsis tas li ntawd, raws li Indonesia-European Union Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (IEU-CEPA), Indonesia cov ntaub ntawv xa tawm tuaj yeem txaus siab rau xoom tariffs, uas yog qhov zoo rau kev xa tawm ntawm Indonesian textile khoom mus rau European Union.
Higher Thresholds rau Certification thiab Standards:Is Nrias teb tshaj tawm tias nws yuav siv BIS ntawv pov thawj rau cov tshuab textile pib txij lub Yim Hli 28, suav nrog cov khoom siv xws li looms thiab paj ntaub tshuab. Qhov no yuav ncua kev nrawm nrawm ntawm Is Nrias teb lub peev xwm nthuav dav thiab tsim qee yam teeb meem rau textile machinery exporters los ntawm lwm lub teb chaws. European Union kuj tau thov kom nruj txwv tsis pub PFAS (per- thiab polyfluoroalkyl tshuaj) hauv textiles los ntawm 50ppm mus rau 1ppm, uas xav tias yuav siv tau rau xyoo 2026. Qhov no yuav ua rau cov txheej txheem hloov pauv thiab ntsuas siab rau Suav thiab lwm cov textile exporters rau European Union.
Differentiated Regional Development
Kev loj hlob zoo tshaj plaws nyob rau sab hnub tuaj thiab South Asia:Hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2025, cov teb chaws loj tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb textile thiab khaub ncaws muab khoom lag luam tau tuav lub zog loj hlob hauv lawv cov kev lag luam tsim khoom, ntawm cov teb chaws Esxias Qab Teb thiab South Asian tau pom tias muaj kev txhim kho tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam textile thiab khaub ncaws. Piv txwv li, txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Xya Hli, Is Nrias teb cov khoom siv textile thiab khaub ncaws xa tawm mus txog 20.27 billion US dollars, ib xyoos ib zaug nce ntawm 3.9%. Nyab Laj cov textile thiab khaub ncaws xa tawm mus rau lub ntiaj teb muaj txog 22.81 billion US dollars txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Xya Hli 2024, ib xyoos ib zaug nce 6.1%, thiab qhov kev loj hlob no txuas ntxiv nyob rau thawj ib nrab xyoo 2025. Tsis tas li ntawd, Nyab Laj cov khaub ncaws xa tawm mus rau Nigeria tau nce 41% hauv thawj ib nrab xyoo 2025.
Kev poob qis me ntsis hauv Turkey's Scale:Raws li lub teb chaws textile thiab khaub ncaws ua lag luam ib txwm muaj, Qaib ntxhw tau ntsib kev poob qis me ntsis ntawm kev lag luam textile thiab khaub ncaws nyob rau thawj ib nrab ntawm 2025 vim yog cov khoom xws li txo cov neeg siv khoom xav tau hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab kev nce nqi hauv tsev. Nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, Qaib ntxhw tus nqi tag nrho export ntawm textile thiab apparel khoom mus rau lub ntiaj teb no yog 15.16 billion US dollars, ib xyoo-rau-xyoo poob ntawm 6.8%.
Intertwined Tus Nqi thiab Kev Ua Lag Luam
Volatility nyob rau hauv Raw Material Costs and Supply:Hais txog paj rwb, cuam tshuam los ntawm kev kub ntxhov nyob rau sab qab teb sab hnub poob Tebchaws Meskas, qhov kev cia siab tso tseg ntawm US paj rwb tau nce los ntawm 14% mus rau 21%, ua rau kom nruj ntawm lub ntiaj teb paj rwb khoom-xav tau qhov xwm txheej. Txawm li cas los xij, kev nthuav tawm cov paj rwb tshiab hauv Brazil qeeb qeeb dua li xyoo dhau los, uas ua rau muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg rau qhov cuam tshuam rau cov paj rwb thoob ntiaj teb. Tsis tas li ntawd, nyob rau hauv lub moj khaum ntawm RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership), lub sij hawm txo tus nqi rau cov khoom lag luam xws li textile raw cov ntaub ntawv tau luv luv los ntawm thawj 10 xyoo mus rau 7 xyoo txij li lub Yim Hli 1, uas yog qhov tsim nyog los txo cov nqi tsim khoom ntawm Tuam Tshoj textile tuam txhab nyob rau hauv cov khoom lag luam nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Asia.
Kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo ntawm Kev Lag Luam Tsheb Thauj Khoom:US-bound shipping lag luam ua lag luam sluggishly nyob rau hauv 2025. Tus nqi thauj khoom ntawm US West ntug dej hiav txwv txoj kev poob los ntawm 5,600 US dollars / FEU (Forty-foot Equivalent Unit) nyob rau hauv thaum ntxov Lub rau hli ntuj mus rau 1,700-1,900 US dollars / FEU nyob rau hauv thaum ntxov Lub Xya hli ntuj, thiab US East Coast txoj kev kuj tau poob los ntawm 6/20,00 US dollars. Teb Chaws Asmeskas las / FEU, nrog kev poob qis dua 50%. Qhov no qhia txog qhov kev thov tsis txaus rau kev thauj mus los ntawm textiles thiab lwm yam khoom mus rau Tebchaws Meskas.
Tus nqi nce siab ntawm cov lag luam:Thaib tau nce nyiaj tsawg kawg nkaus hauv kev lag luam textile los ntawm 350 Thai បាត ib hnub rau 380 បាត Thaib pib txij Lub Xya Hli 22, nce qhov feem pua ntawm cov nqi zog rau 31%, uas tau ua rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov tuam txhab textile Thaib. Lub koom haum Vietnam Textile Association, teb rau US tariff adjustment thiab EU ib puag ncig cov qauv, tau pom zoo kom cov lag luam txhawb fluorine-dawb dyeing thiab tiav tshuab, uas yuav nce nqi los ntawm 8% - kuj possibilities rau cov lag luam.
Post lub sij hawm: Aug-23-2025